Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 122.864435 142.822468 166.710843 197.932274 238.475513 2.905638e+02 364.709386
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 95.913279 119.333996 150.507649 196.776026 267.133507 3.769688e+02 578.918851
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 82.477037 106.925271 141.695706 197.854158 293.505005 4.678000e+02 872.873285
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 71.246758 94.846335 129.903842 189.903484 300.846469 5.290311e+02 1182.102821
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 66.391958 90.911930 129.095144 198.833982 340.909893 6.818752e+02 2008.150850
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 59.710120 83.141332 120.678603 192.058332 346.911544 7.607747e+02 2829.348160
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 55.668240 78.919965 117.336333 193.745530 372.021108 9.163740e+02 4852.264589
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 51.518418 74.007461 112.023478 190.259474 383.553191 1.043851e+03 8054.543403
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 50.685459 74.419000 116.105387 207.076791 456.203738 1.517942e+03 36617.472513
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 50.942719 76.666567 123.881490 234.377737 579.296894 2.618757e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 48.115654 73.173651 120.043270 233.170941 608.516373 3.254019e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 45.992330 70.737217 117.979836 235.968478 655.809514 4.361794e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 42.980534 66.730725 112.864170 231.507099 680.793638 5.657094e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 40.522711 63.579024 109.241877 230.673957 725.807662 8.221389e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.523846 61.078993 106.628520 231.986839 785.159903 1.335205e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.962660 57.277235 100.688250 221.984407 776.865838 1.647428e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.054470 56.588969 101.577802 233.226301 908.571319 4.972786e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 33.023468 53.521666 96.668471 224.691620 905.445761 7.589313e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 31.796196 51.959001 95.072354 226.813795 984.552413 3.527690e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 30.320332 49.786371 91.795981 222.431228 1011.075369 2.721041e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 30.250835 50.457622 95.409154 243.652530 1307.377131 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 30.642861 52.116890 101.748906 278.516812 1914.658347 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 29.502079 50.431311 99.292124 276.965144 2050.203143 NaN NaN